Abstract
This dissertation explores several under-studied aspects of affective polarization through four chapters. The first chapter discusses the history of polarization research and the measurement challenges facing polarization scholars. The second chapter analyzes how electoral outcomes differentially influence Democrats' and Republicans' inparty, outparty, and general affect. I find that winning elections affects both outparty and inparty attitudes, but the size and direction of these effects varies by party: electoral success reduces Republicans' inparty affect, but for Democrats success reduces outparty affect. The third and fourth chapters contain survey experiment data measuring the effects of cross-partisan relationships. I find that positive relationships with typical outparty supporters result in more positive assessments of the outparty. I put forth a theory of chosen versus circumstantial relationships, contending that choosing to include a cross-party contact in one's life affects attitudes differently than cross-party contacts that are within one's social circle by chance or life circumstances. I find support for this theory, with chosen relationships relating to lower partisan animosity and greater propensity to form new cross-party relationships. Taken together, this dissertation reveals that affective polarization is a nuanced and complicated phenomenon. I find considerable evidence that affective polarization remains high in today's society. However, these results demonstrate that negative attitudes are positively influenced by cross-party contact, and are not extremely exacerbated by electoral outcomes. This dissertation provides a cautiously optimistic outlook on the state of affective polarization in contemporary American society.
Committee Chair
Dino Christenson
Committee Members
Alexa Bankert; Betsy Sinclair; Michael Strawbridge; Taylor Carlson
Degree
Doctor of Philosophy (PhD)
Author's Department
Political Science
Document Type
Dissertation
Date of Award
8-13-2025
Language
English (en)
DOI
https://doi.org/10.7936/k1da-3a25
Recommended Citation
Pedersen, Jenna, "The Effects of Electoral Outcomes and Cross-party Relationships on Affective Polarization" (2025). Arts & Sciences Theses and Dissertations. 3608.
The definitive version is available at https://doi.org/10.7936/k1da-3a25